He claimed that large numbers of people had yet to decide:
There are lots of people who have not made up their minds – millions and millions. When they go to the ballots tomorrow I would just ask everyone to separate the frustrations which they understandably have about me, the party and the past from what a Labour government would mean for their families specifically.
He also claimed that the lack of recent questions to him about the cost of living meant things were improving – others might argue that it is mainly because most people don’t expect him to win. He said:
All those questions you used to ask me about the cost of living, in this campaign they have dissipated. I think that is a reflection of the fact that the economy is doing better.
Before the Q&A, Sunak toured the village primary school, based in the seat of Tory MP Caroline Nokes, who would normally expect to win again at a canter. He helped year three and four children with a maths lesson before going to a reception class, where he and Nokes made plasticine pizza slices with two girls – one of which would be topped with “ketchup and worms”.
Sitting on a blue plastic chair after, Sunak was asked what his highlight as prime minister had been. He somewhat dodged the question, but did accept that his time in office had often been a struggle with outside events.
There are lots of things that you’d like to do, but the reality is that you’re dealing with the situation in front of you. That’s very much been the story of my political career in the last few years. That’s just reality. You’ve got to play the cards that you’ve been dealt.
Asked if he would take full responsibility for whatever the election result was, he replied: “Yes”.
He has two more stops in what would normally be seen as safe Tory areas, now under threat from the Lib Dems, and then that’s it – back to his Yorkshire constituency. And then, most likely, not back to living at Downing Street at all.
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its final MRP poll of the campaign, and it suggests Labour is on course for a majority of 212.
Sky News says this would be the biggest majority for a party since the 1832 election, held after the Great Reform Act.
conviction for assaulting a woman in 2010 and whether the boxer was a good role model for young men, the Reform UK leader said:
You know what? You show me someone who’s lived a perfect life and never been in trouble.With these young kids here, he’s a fantastic role model.
He’s got a huge following in the country and yeah, he is a good role model – imperfect as we all are.
an end-of-campaign poll with Labour on 38%, and the Tories on 21%.
3.24pm.) He said:
I am delighted to have the support of the Sun. It shows just how much this is a changed party, back in the service of working people, and that is the change on offer tomorrow in this election.
Labour on 41% and the Tories on 21%.
MRP poll, Jeremy Corbyn is set to win in Islington North as an independent, beating the official Labour candidate by 43% to 37%.
It also says the former Labour MP Keith Vaz may be returned in Leicester East because the result there is too close to call.
Scotland after flying from Wales on the same jet that took England to the Euros in Germany. He sat in the same seat as England boss Gareth Southgate for the journey, part of a whirlwind tour of mainland Britain on the final day of the campaign, PA says.
Rishi Sunak has confided to members of his inner circle that he is fearful of losing his Yorkshire constituency at the general election, Anna Isaac reports.
If the More in Common MRP poll is right, Sunak has no need to worry. It has Sunak beating Labour in Richmond and Northallerton by 41% to 24%.
4.04pm) that Starmer is a future PM of the UK.
Conservatives will hold just 126.
Of all the MRP polls produced during the campaign, the More in Common ones have been most favourable to the Tories. Peter Inglesby, a data scientist at Oxford University, has produced an excellent guide to what all the various MRPs and other election models are saying.
In its summary More in Common says:
The overall seat totals for the parties are projected to be:
Labour: 430 seats
Conservatives: 126 seats
Liberal Democrats: 52 seats
Scottish National Party: 16 seats
Reform UK: 2 seats
Plaid Cymru: 2 seats
Green Party: 1 seat
Other: 2 seats
The implied national vote share has Labour on 39%, Conservatives on 23%, Liberal Democrats on 14%, Reform on 13%, Green Party on 6%, SNP on 2% and other parties on 3%.
The model predicts that Labour will return to the Commons with 430 MPs and a majority of 210 – more seats than they won in 1997 – including a major recovery in Scotland, across the “Red wall” and in seats right across the country …
Overall, there are 113 seats with a majority less than 5%, where a last minute swing could change the results. There are 52 seats in a statistical tie with the projected winner less than 2 percentage points ahead of their closest rival – these seats are too close to call. These include seven seats where members of the cabinet, including potential Leadership contender Penny Mordaunt, are defending their seats and also seats such as Bristol Central where shadow culture secretary Thangam Debbonaire faces a tight battle against Greens’ co-leader Carla Denyer …
The model also finds 99 marginal Conservative seats where control of the seat is decided by less than 5 percentage points. If the Tories were to win all of these marginal seats, the seat totals would sit at 177 for the Conservatives, 393 for Labour and 41 for the Liberal Democrats. If undecided voters don’t break for the Conservatives in the last day of the campaign, they could be left with as few as 78 seats.
Commenting on the results, Luke Tryl, the director of More in Common UK, said:
With hours to go before polls opening, our latest MRP suggests the Conservative party are heading for the worst result in their history, while Labour look set to achieve a record breaking majority of their own.
But it would be a mistake to assume that tomorrow doesn’t matter. With over a hundred seats still in the balance, the size of Labour’s victory, the extent to which the Conservatives are able to form a viable opposition, as well as the challenge they face from the Liberal Democrats, along with how many Green and Reform UK MPs join the House of Commons will all be determined by where those still undecided voters ultimately cast their ballot.
Source: theguardian.com
